Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
David Y.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Saban I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Marmorek
20%
Draws
38%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Marmorek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Ironi Ashdod have won more games recently than Hapoel Marmorek.
  • Model gives Hapoel Marmorek a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek
5:0
Mar 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:0
Nov 29, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:2
Mar 8, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Marmorek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Saban I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Marmorek 42 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has conceded goals in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Marmorek stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hapoel Marmorek scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Marmorek VS Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
38% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kiryat Gat21174053:1855
2Jerusalem FC22114745:2937
3FC Dimona22114729:3037
4Maccabi Yavne22106642:2836
5Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi22105727:2735
6Tzeirei Tira21103833:2433
7Shimshon Tel Aviv2286828:2830
8Beitar Yavne22931027:3430
9Kfar Saba 19282278728:3129
10Holon Yermiyahu22661030:3324
11Hapoel Marmorek22661020:3424
12Hapoel Azor2158817:2023
13H. Herzliya22571022:3622
14Ramat Hasharon22551224:4319
15Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2177737:3516
16Beitar Nordia Jerusalem22361328:4015