Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Shlomo R.
Assist: Noy I.
15' Event
Cohen Y.
(Penalty)
26'
Malede Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
20%
Draws
38%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have won more games recently than Hapoel Petah Tikva.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Petah Tikva's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 10%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
2:2
May 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
4:0
Dec 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
2:2
Sep 16, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:4
Jan 21, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Shlomo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peretz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 40 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva Maccabi Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Petah Tikva stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740