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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Kraev A.
26'
Sub
Boateng E. In: Silva X.
Out: Boateng E.
29'
Kraev A.

AI Match Summary

H. Beer Sheva in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored H. Beer Sheva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
22%
Draws
18%
H. Beer Sheva
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • H. Beer Sheva have won more games recently than Hapoel Tel Aviv.
  • Model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 68%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
0:2
May 2, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Toto Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidzada O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ganah A. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 68 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tel Aviv H. Beer Sheva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H. Beer Sheva has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS H. Beer Sheva
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740