Sport Picks
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israel
Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv 
Match Events
12'
12'
Turiel S.
Penalty Missed
15'
15'
Chico
25'
25'
Peretz D.
Assist: Revivo R.
AI Match Summary
The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 13%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Jan 26, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
Jan 14, 2026 State Cup
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare
Top Goalscorer Korine R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare
Top Goalscorer Peretz D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Tel Aviv 31 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Hapoel Tel Aviv stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Maccabi Tel Aviv has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(Home) 30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
15 May
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
12 May
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
09 May
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 : 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
06 May
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Beitar Jerusalem
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
(Away) 30 Jul
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 0 Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
03 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
30 Jun
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 0 Alashkert
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
03 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
26 May
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79:38 | 79 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 78:40 | 76 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 72:46 | 66 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:47 | 55 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 48:57 | 40 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
