Sport Picks

Israel

State Cup 2025/2026

Hapoel Yarka

0 - 4

Kiryat Gat

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Mishali E.

(Penalty)

58'

Hadad G.

66'

Hadad G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Kiryat Gat advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Hapoel Yarka

25%

Draws

35%

Kiryat Gat

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Yarka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence

Hapoel Yarka haven't matched Kiryat Gat's recent run of results.
Model gives Hapoel Yarka a 36% chance of winning this.
Kiryat Gat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kiryat Gat, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Hapoel Yarka Clean Sheet 20%

Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Yarka	Kiryat Gat
Matches Played	2	23
Wins	1	16
Draws	0	3
Losses	1	4
Goals Scored	1	2.09
Goals Conceded	2.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.79	0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 State Cup

Hapoel Yarka vs Kiryat Gat

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Yarka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61

Avg xA / game 0.4

Kiryat Gat Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadad G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Tzadik D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Yarka 36 / 100

Kiryat Gat 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Yarka Kiryat Gat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kiryat Gat let in goals in 70% of their last 23 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Yarka scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Hapoel Yarka has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kiryat Gat

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 0.38

0% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Yarka

(Home)

28 Oct

Hapoel Yarka

0 : 4

Kiryat Gat

30 Sept

Kiryat Haim

1 : 2

Hapoel Yarka

Kiryat Gat

(Away)

28 Sept

Kiryat Gat

0 : 1

MS Kafr Qasim

17 Sept

H. Raanana

0 : 1

Kiryat Gat

10 Sept

Hapoel Kfar Saba

2 : 0

Kiryat Gat

07 Sept

Kiryat Gat

1 : 1

M. Herzliya

30 Aug

Ironi Modiin

1 : 1

Kiryat Gat

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Nes Tziona 1

Hapoel Karmiel 2

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera -

TBD -

Hapoel Sderot FC 2

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7

FC Beer Sheva 0

TBD -

Kiryat Yam -

Beitar Haifa 0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5

TBD -

Hapoel Ramat Gan -

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula -

TBD -

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya -

TBD -

Hapoel Akko -

Kfar Saba 1928 2

Maccabi Yavne 0

TBD -

H. Ironi Rishon -

Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1

Bnei Jaffa 4

Jerusalem FC 6

Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 5

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1

TBD -

H. Raanana -

Kiryat Haim 1

Hapoel Yarka 2

Kfar Kama 0

Kiryat Gat 1

Ironi Modiin -

TBD -

M. Nazareth 2

Beitar Ramat Gan 1

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0

Shimshon Tel Aviv 2

TBD -

MS Kafr Qasim -

Shikun Hamizrah 0

Holon Yermiyahu 5

TBD -

Nof Hagalil -

Ironi Or Yehuda 1

FC Dimona 3

TBD -

Maccabi Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/32-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Hapoel Karmiel 4

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera 3

Hapoel Sderot FC 4

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2

Kiryat Yam 1

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2

Hapoel Ramat Gan 3

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya 2

Hapoel Akko 0

Kfar Saba 1928 1

H. Ironi Rishon 0

Bnei Jaffa 1

Jerusalem FC 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 0

H. Raanana 1

Hapoel Yarka 0

Kiryat Gat 4

Ironi Modiin 1

M. Nazareth 3

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Shimshon Tel Aviv 0

MS Kafr Qasim 2

Holon Yermiyahu 1

Nof Hagalil 0

FC Dimona 1

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/16-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2

Hapoel Karmiel 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Sderot FC 1

Hapoel Jerusalem 2

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0

Hapoel Ramat Gan 2

Shmona 3

Ironi Tiberias 1

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1

M. Herzliya 4

Kfar Saba 1928 1

Bnei Jaffa 0

Netanya 6

Sakhnin 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

SC Ashdod 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Hapoel Haifa 0

H. Raanana 4

Kiryat Gat 3

M. Nazareth 1

Maccabi Haifa 8

MS Kafr Qasim 3

Holon Yermiyahu 1

FC Dimona 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 3

1/8-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Jerusalem 1

Shmona 0

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 1

M. Herzliya 0

Netanya 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

H. Raanana 0

Maccabi Haifa 1

MS Kafr Qasim 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 0

Quarter-finals

Maccabi Bnei Raina 0

H. Beer Sheva 3

Beitar Jerusalem 1

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Jaffa 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Maccabi Haifa 2

MS Kafr Qasim 0

Semi-finals

H. Beer Sheva 3

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

Maccabi Haifa 2

Final

H. Beer Sheva 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

Hapoel Yarka vs Kiryat Gat

Israel

Hapoel Yarka

Kiryat Gat

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Hapoel Yarka Compare

Kiryat Gat Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Yarka

Kiryat Gat

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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