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Haras El Hodood vs El Ismaily

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Harras El Hodood Stadium
Mon, Dec 1, 2025
3 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
El Henawy F.
Assist: Ashraf M.
45' Event
Ammar M.
Assist: El Dah A.
94' Event
Gamal A.
Assist: Ashraf I.

AI Match Summary

The Egypt Cup game between Haras El Hodood and El Ismaily finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haras El Hodood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Haras El Hodood
39%
Draws
31%
El Ismaily
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • El Ismaily have managed 0.38 goals a game lately — Haras El Hodood are scoring more at 0.88.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cup games in Egypt Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Haras El Hodood Clean Sheet 68%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haras El Hodood El Ismaily
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Haras El Hodood vs El Ismaily
0:0
Dec 1, 2025 Egypt Cup
Haras El Hodood vs El Ismaily
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood
3:1
Dec 25, 2024 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Haras El Hodood
2:2
Dec 11, 2024 League Cup
Haras El Hodood vs El Ismaily
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haras El Hodood Compare

Top Goalscorer El Henawy F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gamal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

El Ismaily Compare

Top Goalscorer Ammar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haras El Hodood 41 / 100
El Ismaily 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haras El Hodood El Ismaily

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Ismaily's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: El Ismaily registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Haras El Hodood scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haras El Hodood VS El Ismaily
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrojet1
Wadi Degla0
Modern Sport1
Al Qanah0
El Gouna2
Asyut Petroleum1
Pyramids2
Masar0
Al Ahly1
WE Sports Club2
Pharco FC2
Telephonaat Beni Suef0
National Bank Egypt4
Bur Fouad1
Enppi1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)0
Zamalek1
Baladiyat El Mahalla0
Ceramica Cleopatra2
Abu Qir Semad0
El Gaish2
Al-Sekka0
Al Ittihad Alexandria0
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
Haras El Hodood3
El Ismaily1
Smouha3
Ghazl El Mahallah1
ZED FC1
Alo Egypt0
Al Masry4
Dekernes2
1/8-finals
Petrojet2
Modern Sport1
El Gouna0
Pyramids3
WE Sports Club2
Pharco FC1
National Bank Egypt0
Enppi1
Zamalek1
Ceramica Cleopatra2
El Gaish2
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
Haras El Hodood2
Smouha1
ZED FC1
Al Masry0
Quarter-finals
Petrojet0
Pyramids2
WE Sports Club0
Enppi2
Ceramica Cleopatra0
El Gaish1
Haras El Hodood1
ZED FC2
Semi-finals
Pyramids4
Enppi0
El Gaish1
ZED FC3
Final
Pyramids2
ZED FC1