Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haras El Hodood vs Smouha

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Harras El Hodood Stadium, Alexandria
Haras El Hodood Logo

Haras El Hodood

Thu, Jan 8, 2026
2 - 1
12:30 PM
Smouha Logo

Smouha

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hamdi M.
46'
Sub
Bayoumi M. In: Saviola O.
Out: Bayoumi M.
46'
Sub
Yehia A. In: Amadi S.
Out: Yehia A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Haras El Hodood
20%
Draws
19%
Smouha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haras El Hodood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Haras El Hodood haven't matched Smouha's recent run of results.
  • Haras El Hodood are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Smouha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Smouha, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Smouha here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Haras El Hodood Clean Sheet 68%
Smouha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haras El Hodood Smouha
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.94 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.19 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 League Cup
Smouha vs Haras El Hodood
1:0
Jan 8, 2026 Egypt Cup
Haras El Hodood vs Smouha
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Haras El Hodood
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Premier League
Haras El Hodood vs Smouha
1:3
Feb 26, 2023 Premier League
Smouha vs Haras El Hodood
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haras El Hodood Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamdi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Smouha Compare

Top Goalscorer Badji P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haras El Hodood 95 / 100
Smouha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haras El Hodood Smouha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haras El Hodood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Haras El Hodood stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Smouha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Smouha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Haras El Hodood VS Smouha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haras El Hodood

(Home)
02 Oct
Tanta
0 : 2
Haras El Hodood
25 Sept
Haras El Hodood
0 : 0
Dayrout
17 Sept
El Ismaily
0 : 2
Haras El Hodood
10 Sept
Delta United
1 : 2
Haras El Hodood
03 Sept
Haras El Hodood
2 : 1
El Entag El Harby
Page 1 of 7

Smouha

(Away)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrojet 1
Wadi Degla 0
Modern Sport 1
Al Qanah 0
El Gouna 2
Asyut Petroleum 1
Pyramids 2
Masar 0
Al Ahly 1
WE Sports Club 2
Pharco FC 2
Telephonaat Beni Suef 0
National Bank Egypt 4
Bur Fouad 1
Enppi 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 0
Zamalek 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla 0
Ceramica Cleopatra 2
Abu Qir Semad 0
El Gaish 2
Al Sekka 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria 0
Kahrabaa Ismailia 1
Haras El Hodood 3
El Ismaily 1
Smouha 3
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
ZED FC 1
Alo Egypt 0
Al Masry 4
Dekernes 2
1/8-finals
Petrojet 2
Modern Sport 1
El Gouna 0
Pyramids 3
WE Sports Club 2
Pharco FC 1
National Bank Egypt 0
Enppi 1
Zamalek 1
Ceramica Cleopatra 2
El Gaish 2
Kahrabaa Ismailia 1
Haras El Hodood 2
Smouha 1
ZED FC 1
Al Masry 0
Quarter-finals
Petrojet 0
Pyramids 2
WE Sports Club 0
Enppi 2
Ceramica Cleopatra 0
El Gaish 1
Haras El Hodood 1
ZED FC 2
Semi-finals
Pyramids 4
Enppi 0
El Gaish 1
ZED FC 3
Final
Pyramids 2
ZED FC 1