Sport Picks
Harborough vs Bury Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
O’Sullivan R.
69'
69'
Page C.
78'
78'
Maughn M.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Harborough and Bury Town finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bury Town come out ahead of Harborough on wins alone.
- Harborough are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Harborough Clean Sheet 13%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harborough | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs Bury Town
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Harborough
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harborough Compare
Top Goalscorer O’Sullivan R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carline G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bury Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Page C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maughn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harborough 57 / 100
Bury Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harborough Bury Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Harborough found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Bury Town has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Harborough went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harborough VS Bury Town
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Harborough
(Home) 03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2 St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0 Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0 Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0 Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3 Hereford
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2 St. Albans
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0 Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0 Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3 Hereford
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1 Marine
Page 1 of 3
Bury Town
(Away) 06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0 Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2 Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1 Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0 Hitchin
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0 Bury Town
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2 Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1 Bury Town
19 Sept
Gorleston
3 : 4 Bury Town
12 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 0 Bury Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
