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Harborough vs Coalville Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Chambers A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Harborough and Coalville Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coalville Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Harborough
20%
Draws
10%
Coalville Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Coalville Town haven't matched Harborough's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Harborough a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Harborough Clean Sheet 20%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Coalville Town
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Harborough vs Coalville Town
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Coalville Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 76 / 100
Coalville Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Coalville Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Coalville Town has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Harborough remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Coalville Town has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
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Coalville Town

(Away)
15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2
Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3
Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4
Telford
20 Apr
Kettering
1 : 0
Coalville Town
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0
Stourbridge
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