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Harborough vs Marine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Doyle J.
42' Event
Osborne S.
84' Event
Malone P.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Harborough and Marine finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Harborough
15%
Draws
54%
Marine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marine come out ahead of Harborough on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marine a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Harborough Clean Sheet 16%
Marine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Marine
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 2
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League North
Harborough vs Marine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Osborne S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malone P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Marine Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 23 / 100
Marine 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Marine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marine conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Harborough has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Marine
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

Marine

(Away)
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1
Marine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)