Sport Picks

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Harbour View vs Montego Bay

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Harbour View Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Reid T.
39' Event
Lima L.
45' Event
Reid T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Harbour View
15%
Draws
42%
Montego Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harbour View

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Harbour View haven't matched Montego Bay's recent run of results.
  • Harbour View are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Harbour View Clean Sheet 10%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harbour View Montego Bay
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Montego Bay
4:3
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Montego Bay
2:2
Dec 11, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Harbour View
4:4
Mar 6, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Harbour View
1:0
Dec 29, 2024 Premier League
Harbour View vs Montego Bay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harbour View Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harbour View 34 / 100
Montego Bay 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harbour View Montego Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Harbour View found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Montego Bay conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Montego Bay lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harbour View VS Montego Bay
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Harbour View

(Home)
06 May
Cavalier
2 : 1
Harbour View
03 May
Molynes United
0 : 1
Harbour View
26 Apr
Harbour View
4 : 3
Montego Bay
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Harbour View
0 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Montego Bay

(Away)
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)