Sport Picks

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Harbour View vs Tivoli

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Harbour View Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Fuller N.
20' Event
Oldfield R.
45' Event
Fuller N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Harbour View
15%
Draws
0%
Tivoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harbour View

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tivoli lately — more wins on the board than Harbour View.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Harbour View taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Harbour View Clean Sheet 68%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harbour View Tivoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Harbour View
3:2
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Tivoli
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Harbour View
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Harbour View
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Tivoli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harbour View Compare

Top Goalscorer Oldfield R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chong O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuller N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harbour View 95 / 100
Tivoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harbour View Tivoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harbour View Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Tivoli's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Harbour View scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tivoli conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Harbour View VS Tivoli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harbour View

(Home)
06 May
Cavalier
2 : 1
Harbour View
03 May
Molynes United
0 : 1
Harbour View
26 Apr
Harbour View
4 : 3
Montego Bay
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Harbour View
0 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 6

Tivoli

(Away)
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2
Cavalier
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0
Tivoli
22 Apr
Montego Bay
5 : 1
Tivoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)