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Stadium Background

Hard vs A. Lustenau (Am)

Austria Austria

Vorarlberg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hard in this Vorarlberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hard
33%
Draws
27%
A. Lustenau (Am)
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hard have won more games recently than A. Lustenau (Am).
  • Win probability leans Hard's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hard Clean Sheet 18%
A. Lustenau (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hard A. Lustenau (Am)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vorarlberg
Hard vs A. Lustenau (Am)
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 Vorarlberg
A. Lustenau (Am) vs Hard
5:1
Apr 6, 2024 Vorarlberg
Hard vs A. Lustenau (Am)
4:0
Aug 20, 2023 Vorarlberg
A. Lustenau (Am) vs Hard
1:4
May 26, 2023 Vorarlberg
A. Lustenau (Am) vs Hard
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hard 40 / 100
A. Lustenau (Am) 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hard A. Lustenau (Am)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lustenau (Am)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Hard scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Hard stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hard VS A. Lustenau (Am)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%