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Hardenberg vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Hardenberg and Excelsior 31 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hardenberg
20%
Draws
61%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Excelsior 31 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg Excelsior 31
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Hardenberg vs Excelsior 31
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Excelsior 31 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Hardenberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Excelsior 31
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
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Excelsior 31

(Away)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
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