Sport Picks
Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark de Boshoek, Hardenberg 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zwikstra G.
Assist: Deuling S.
24'
24'
Hagedoorn S.
Assist: Dors M.
39'
39'
Pouwels M.
Assist: Eikelboom H.
AI Match Summary
The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Hardenberg and Jong Almere City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hardenberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Hardenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 15%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hardenberg | Jong Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Hardenberg
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs Hardenberg
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hardenberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Zwikstra G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pouwels M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Jong Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hagedoorn S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hardenberg 30 / 100
Jong Almere City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hardenberg Jong Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hardenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hardenberg scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Jong Almere City let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Jong Almere City lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hardenberg VS Jong Almere City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hardenberg
(Home) 03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1 IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0 Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1 Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2 Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2 Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1 IJsselmeervogels
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1 Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2 Kozakken Boys
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2 De Treffers
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 3
Jong Almere City
(Away) 03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4 Jong Almere City
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4 Barendrecht
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3 Spakenburg
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4 Jong Almere City
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2 Jong Almere City
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1 Jong Almere City
16 May
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 1 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
