Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hardenberg vs OFC Oostzaan

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Hardijk M. In: Reinders T.
Out: Hardijk M.
44' Event
Butter N.
Assist: Burger R.
45' Event
Springer N.
Assist: Burger R.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 game between Hardenberg and OFC Oostzaan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OFC Oostzaan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hardenberg
30%
Draws
23%
OFC Oostzaan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hardenberg come out ahead of OFC Oostzaan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hardenberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and OFC Oostzaan have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 68%
OFC Oostzaan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg OFC Oostzaan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.62 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs OFC Oostzaan
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Tweede Divisie
OFC Oostzaan vs Hardenberg
1:5
Aug 22, 2018 KNVB Beker
Hardenberg vs OFC Oostzaan
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

OFC Oostzaan Compare

Top Goalscorer Butter N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Springer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 95 / 100
OFC Oostzaan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg OFC Oostzaan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hardenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OFC Oostzaan has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Hardenberg found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

OFC Oostzaan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

OFC Oostzaan

(Away)
27 May
De Treffers
7 : 1
OFC Oostzaan
20 May
OFC Oostzaan
1 : 1
AFC
13 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
OFC Oostzaan
06 May
Quick Boys
2 : 0
OFC Oostzaan
22 Apr
OFC Oostzaan
1 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Katwijk 34 22 5 7 74:36 71
2 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 21 6 7 73:42 69
3 AFC 34 20 9 5 60:31 69
4 Hardenberg 34 18 6 10 75:48 60
5 De Treffers 34 18 6 10 66:45 60
6 Quick Boys 34 17 5 12 72:48 56
7 Koninklijke HFC 34 16 7 11 52:41 55
8 SVV Scheveningen 34 12 9 13 38:46 45
9 VV Noordwijk 34 12 7 15 45:45 43
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 58:61 43
11 Spakenburg 34 11 10 13 50:55 43
12 Lisse 34 10 12 12 45:51 42
13 Kozakken Boys 34 12 4 18 50:58 40
14 Excelsior Maassluis 34 10 9 15 50:69 39
15 TEC 34 10 9 15 41:60 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 6 19 51:71 33
17 Jong Volendam 34 7 5 22 45:82 26
18 OFC Oostzaan 34 4 8 22 33:89 20
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Main)