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Hardenberg vs OFC Oostzaan

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Hardijk M. In: Reinders T.
Out: Hardijk M.
44' Event
Butter N.
Assist: Burger R.
45' Event
Springer N.
Assist: Burger R.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 game between Hardenberg and OFC Oostzaan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OFC Oostzaan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hardenberg
6%
Draws
4%
OFC Oostzaan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hardenberg come out ahead of OFC Oostzaan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hardenberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and OFC Oostzaan have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 68%
OFC Oostzaan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg OFC Oostzaan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs OFC Oostzaan
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Tweede Divisie
OFC Oostzaan vs Hardenberg
1:5
Aug 22, 2018 KNVB Beker
Hardenberg vs OFC Oostzaan
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

OFC Oostzaan Compare

Top Goalscorer Butter N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Springer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 95 / 100
OFC Oostzaan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg OFC Oostzaan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OFC Oostzaan has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Hardenberg found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Hardenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Katwijk34225774:3671
2Rijnsburgse Boys34216773:4269
3AFC34209560:3169
4Hardenberg341861075:4860
5De Treffers341861066:4560
6Quick Boys341751272:4856
7Koninklijke HFC341671152:4155
8SVV Scheveningen341291338:4645
9VV Noordwijk341271545:4543
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341271558:6143
11Spakenburg3411101350:5543
12Lisse3410121245:5142
13Kozakken Boys341241850:5840
14Excelsior Maassluis341091550:6939
15TEC341091541:6039
16IJsselmeervogels34961951:7133
17Jong Volendam34752245:8226
18OFC Oostzaan34482233:8920