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Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark de Boshoek
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kariouh I.
26'
ten Brinke N.
40' Event
Zwikstra G.
Assist: ten Brinke N.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Hardenberg and Rijnsburgse Boys finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijnsburgse Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Hardenberg
22%
Draws
60%
Rijnsburgse Boys
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rijnsburgse Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hardenberg haven't matched Rijnsburgse Boys's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rijnsburgse Boys's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 14%
Rijnsburgse Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg Rijnsburgse Boys
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Hardenberg
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Hardenberg
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys
1:5
May 4, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwikstra G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rijnsburgse Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Kariouh I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Weijden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 19 / 100
Rijnsburgse Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rijnsburgse Boys let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hardenberg found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Hardenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Rijnsburgse Boys
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130