Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hardenberg vs TOP Oss

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 Sportpark de Boshoek, Hardenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Spit L.
65'
Sub
Doucoure S. In: Wildeboer T.
Out: Doucoure S.
65'
Sub
Slagveer L. In: Hinoke M.
Out: Slagveer L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with TOP Oss advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Hardenberg
20%
Draws
17%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • TOP Oss haven't matched Hardenberg's recent run of results.
  • Hardenberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hardenberg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor TOP Oss, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 20%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg TOP Oss
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.78 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 KNVB Beker
Hardenberg vs TOP Oss
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Bost J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 85 / 100
TOP Oss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hardenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

TOP Oss has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Hardenberg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS TOP Oss
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1
Jong Almere City
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Aalsmeer 2
HZVV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Walcheren 1
VV Noordwijk 3
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 4
GOES 0
TBD -
Spakenburg -
RKVV Erp 0
VV DOVO 4
TEC 3
SV Poortugaal 2
Rohda Raalte 4
HVV Hollandia 1
SteDoCo 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
SV Juliana 31 0
Meerssen 2
Gemert 2
Huizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Harkemase Boys 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
VV Kloetinge 3
DVO 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 6
Rijnvogels 4
Blauw Geel 2
VVOG 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 1
Westlandia 0
VV Zwaluwen 1
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
VVSB 1
Capelle 2
SVV Scheveningen 2
Staphorst 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
De Foresters 2
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 6
Velocitas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
TOGB 1
RKSV UDI 19 3
Sportlust 4
Sportclub 25 1
Kozakken Boys 4
Kampong 0
TBD -
Barendrecht -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 4
Dongen 0
DZOH Emmen 2
Excelsior 31 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Heino 3
Groene Ster 4
IJsselmeervogels 0
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 3
ACV Assen 1
AWC 0
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
Roosendaal 2
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
Olde Veste 0
HSC '21 3
't Zand 4
Mierlo-Hout 2
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
UNA 1
ARC 2
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/64-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
HZVV Hoogeveen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 5
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
VV Noordwijk 0
Hardenberg 2
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 1
Spakenburg 3
VV DOVO 1
TEC 0
Rohda Raalte 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
TBD -
Twente -
Meerssen 0
Gemert 1
TBD -
Sittard -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
VV Kloetinge 3
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 1
Blauw Geel 0
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 4
Urk 1
TBD -
Telstar -
Capelle 5
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKSV UDI 19 0
Sportlust 1
Kozakken Boys 2
Barendrecht 3
De Treffers 6
RKAV Volendam 3
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 2
Excelsior 31 1
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Groene Ster 1
Genemuiden 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roosendaal 0
GVVV 1
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
HSC '21 3
't Zand 1
Koninklijke HFC 5
ARC 0
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/32-finals
Helmond Sport 1
Zwolle 4
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Excelsior 0
TBD -
Ajax -
Hardenberg 0
TOP Oss 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
Spakenburg 5
VV DOVO 1
Rohda Raalte 1
Twente 4
Gemert 0
Sittard 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Almere City 2
HSV Hoek 3
Eindhoven FC 2
Lisse 0
Telstar 5
Capelle 1
Roda 5
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda 1
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
FC Emmen 0
Sportlust 1
Barendrecht 0
De Treffers 3
Maastricht 1
Eemdijk 1
AFC 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 7
Dordrecht 0
Sparta Rotterdam 5
Groningen 2
Quick Boys 1
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 0
Den Bosch 4
Den Haag 3
Katwijk 2
Vitesse 1
PSV -
TBD -
GVVV 4
De Graafschap 2
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Venlo 0
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 3
Koninklijke HFC 0
Waalwijk 3
Cambuur 2
1/16-finals
Zwolle 1
AZ Alkmaar 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Ajax 7
TOP Oss 0
Utrecht 2
Spakenburg 3
Twente 6
Sittard 2
Almere City 3
HSV Hoek 1
Telstar 4
Roda 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
Sportlust 0
De Treffers 1
AFC 1
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 1
Sparta Rotterdam 5
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 0
Den Bosch 2
Katwijk 1
PSV 3
GVVV 0
Feyenoord 2
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 0
Waalwijk 9
1/8-finals
AZ Alkmaar 6
Ajax 0
Utrecht 1
Twente 2
Almere City 1
Telstar 3
G.A. Eagles 3
Heracles 2
De Treffers 1
Nijmegen 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
FC Volendam 2
Den Bosch 1
PSV 4
Heerenveen 3
Waalwijk 1
Quarter-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Twente 1
Telstar 2
G.A. Eagles 1
Nijmegen 1
FC Volendam 0
PSV 4
Heerenveen 1
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Telstar 1
Nijmegen 3
PSV 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 5
Nijmegen 1