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Harefield United vs South Park - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with South Park advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Harefield United
20%
Draws
16%
South Park
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harefield United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Park come out ahead of Harefield United on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Harefield United taking it.
  • South Park arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Park, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Harefield United Clean Sheet 20%
South Park Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harefield United South Park
Matches Played 13 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2012 FA Cup
Harefield United vs South Park
1:4
Sep 22, 2012 FA Cup
South Park vs Harefield United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harefield United 36 / 100
South Park 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harefield United South Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Park conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Harefield United's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

South Park lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harefield United VS South Park
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Harefield United

(Home)
14 Sept
Hastings
1 : 0
Harefield United
03 Sept
Lewes
0 : 1
Harefield United
31 Aug
Harefield United
1 : 1
Lewes
04 Sept
Harefield United
0 : 4
Hastings
03 Sept
Kempston
3 : 2
Harefield United
Page 1 of 3

South Park

(Away)
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
South Park
28 Jul
South Park
2 : 2
Kingstonian
06 Sept
South Park
1 : 2
Broadbridge Heath
01 Jul
South Park
1 : 2
Hassocks
14 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 0
South Park
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cambridge Utd -
TBD -
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Luton -
Alfreton -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley 2
Worksop 0
Nantwich 0
Chorley 2
West Auckland Town 3
Ashington 2
TBD -
Harrogate -
United of Manchester 5
Cammell Laird 0
Lancaster 0
Salford 4
Witton Albion 4
Burscough 2
Dunston 5
Kendal 7
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Hereford -
Barrow -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Tamworth -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Bootle 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Warrington Town 1
Maine Road 0
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Hednesford 3
Redditch 0
Dudley 0
Nuneaton Griff 1
Stamford 2
Holbeach 1
Quorn 1
Buxton 2
Grimsby -
TBD -
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Kidderminster -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Maltby 1
Curzon Ashton 8
New Mills 2
Retford United 1
Rainworth 3
Carlton Town 5
Hinckley -
TBD -
Wolverhampton Casuals 3
Tividale 5
North Ferriby United 2
Eccleshill United 0
Farsley 1
Ossett Albion 2
Wrexham -
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Southport -
AFC Fylde 3
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Bedlington 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Westfields 5
Norton United 2
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Gresley 6
Thurnby 3
Stourport 2
Stafford 3
Belper Town 3
Matlock 0
Coalville Town 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Boston United -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 0
Kettering 3
Skelmersdale 1
Clitheroe 0
Holker Old Boys 0
Tadcaster Albion 3
Leek Town 5
Bewdley Town 0
Rushall 1
Bridgnorth Town 3
Shildon 3
Durham 1
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Altrincham -
Lincoln City -
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Chester -
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Gainsborough -
Abbey Hey 2
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Trafford 4
Runcorn F.C. 0
South Shields 0
Spennymoor 2
Ashton United 3
Prescot Cables 1
Stocksbridge 0
Marine 3
Workington -
TBD -
Garforth 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Bedworth United 2
Rugby 1
Wulfrunians 0
Barwell 3
TBD -
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TBD -
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Mansfield -
Stockport County -
TBD -
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Whitby 2
Ossett Town 1
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Droylsden -
Vauxhall -
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Stalybridge -
Telford -
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Nuneaton -
South Park 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Colney Heath 1
Harefield United 2
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Soham 0
Wroxham 0
Brentwood 5
Dereham 4
Bugbrooke 1
Market Drayton 2
Chasetown 3
Berkhamsted Town 4
Uxbridge 3
Beckenham Town 1
Metropolitan Police 7
Didcot 1
Windsor & Eton 0
Sherborne Town 0
Clevedon 5
Bognor Regis 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Brackley -
TBD -
King’s Lynn 3
Daventry 4
Dulwich Hamlet 5
Godalming Town 4
Barton 0
Arlesey 1
Forest Green -
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Dartford -
Yate 2
Winchester City 1
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Oxford City -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Wantage 1
North Leigh 6
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Newport -
Hastings 3
Chatham 1
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Staines -
Whitehawk 5
Sittingbourne 0
Ware 0
Hitchin 5
Sholing 4
Melksham 0
Gillingham Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Fareham 2
Christchurch 1
Almondsbury UWE 0
Blackfield & Langley 4
Bromley -
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Sutton -
Tonbridge -
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Dover Ath. -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Larkhall 0
Frome Town 4
Gornal 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
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Worcester -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Leatherhead 3
Thamesmead 2
Worthing FC 0
Greenwich Borough 0
Cray Wanderers 1
Maidstone 4
Chipstead 0
Norwich Utd 1
Grays 2
Kingstonian 3
Guildford City 0
FC Witham Town 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
AFC Totton 6
Swindon Supermarine 0
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Truro -
Hungerford 3
Banbury 1
Cinderford Town 1
Merthyr Town 4
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Grantham Town 5
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Huntingdon 0
Cambridge City 7
Welling -
TBD -
Needham Market 0
Concord Rangers 1
Horsham FC 1
VCD Athletic 0
Basildon 0
Thurrock 3
Chalfont St Peter 3
Newport Pagnell 2
Pagham 0
Carshalton 3
Enfield Town 2
Margaretsbury 0
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Stortford -
Braintree -
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St. Albans 3
Harrow Borough 1
Dunstable Town 2
Ashford Town 5
Wealdstone 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Tilbury 0
Lowestoft 2
Dorchester -
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Highworth 1
Wootton 3
Weymouth 5
Totton & Eling 2
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Hampton & Richmond 3
Kempston 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Walthamstow FC 5
Wingate & Finchley 4
Royston Town 3
Canvey Island 0
Bury Town 3
Gloucester City -
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Marlow 1
Thatcham 3
Farnborough -
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Eastleigh -
Badshot Lea 3
Folkestone 2
Southend Manor 1
Leiston 5
Bishops Cleeve 6
Bracknell Town 0
Mangotsfield 1
Chippenham Town 3
Corby -
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Stourbridge 3
Leamington 4
Eastwood 4
Blaby & Whetstone 2
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Histon -
Eastbourne Borough -
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Bedford 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Lewes 3
Redhill 1
Potters 1
Hendon 4
Woking -
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Ebbsfleet -
Slough Town 4
Lingfield 1
Littlehampton 0
Eastbourne Town 1
Aveley 6
Hadleigh 1
Faversham 0
Margate 3
Bath City -
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Plymouth Parkway 3
Buckland 7
Bideford 5
Bodmin Town 4
Bashley 3
Gosport Borough 4
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
Sudbury 1
Heybridge 4
Newport Isle of Wight 2
Horndean 0
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Salisbury -
Northwood 1
Chesham 0
London Lions 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Neots 5
Peterborough Northern Star 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Quarter-finals
Cambridge Utd -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Luton -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
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Frickley 3
Chorley 1
West Auckland Town 3
Harrogate 7
United of Manchester 3
Salford 2
Witton Albion 2
Kendal 4
TBD -
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Hereford -
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Guiseley 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Warrington Town 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Hednesford 3
Nuneaton Griff 2
Stamford 1
Buxton 3
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
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Kidderminster -
Bradford PA 3
Curzon Ashton 1
New Mills 3
Carlton Town 4
Hinckley 5
Tividale 3
North Ferriby United 1
Ossett Albion 2
Wrexham -
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Southport -
AFC Fylde 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Westfields 2
Solihull Moors 3
Gresley 3
Stafford 2
Belper Town 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 7
Boston United 1
Kettering 0
Skelmersdale 1
Tadcaster Albion 4
Leek Town 3
Bridgnorth Town 0
Shildon 0
Altrincham 3
Lincoln City -
TBD -
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Chester 3
Gainsborough 2
Abbey Hey 0
Halifax 6
Macclesfield -
TBD -
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Trafford 5
Spennymoor 3
Ashton United 0
Marine 2
Workington 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Bedworth United 2
Barwell 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mansfield -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby 4
Droylsden 3
Vauxhall 0
Stalybridge 1
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
South Park 4
Harefield United 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brentwood 3
Dereham 2
Chasetown 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Didcot 3
Clevedon 1
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead 4
Brackley 4
Daventry 0
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Arlesey 1
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Yate 2
Oxford City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
North Leigh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport -
Hastings 3
Staines 2
Whitehawk 1
Hitchin 6
Sholing 3
Gillingham Town 1
Fareham 0
Blackfield & Langley 2
Bromley 1
Sutton 0
Tonbridge 1
Dover Ath. 2
Weston-super-Mare 2
Frome Town 0
Gornal 0
Worcester 4
Chelmsford 2
Leatherhead 1
Thamesmead 1
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 5
Grays 0
Kingstonian 2
East Thurrock Utd 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Hungerford 1
Merthyr Town 2
Billericay 3
Hornchurch 1
Grantham Town 1
Cambridge City 3
Welling 3
Concord Rangers 2
Horsham FC 1
Thurrock 2
Chalfont St Peter 1
Carshalton 0
Enfield Town 1
Stortford 4
Braintree -
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TBD -
St. Albans 6
Ashford Town 2
Wealdstone 1
Lowestoft 2
Dorchester 4
Wootton 0
Weymouth 1
Basingstoke 3
Hampton & Richmond 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bury Town 2
Gloucester City 2
Thatcham 1
Farnborough 1
Eastleigh 2
Badshot Lea 4
Leiston 2
Bishops Cleeve 1
Chippenham Town 2
Corby 3
Leamington 2
Eastwood 3
Histon 5
Eastbourne Borough 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Lewes 0
Hendon 3
Woking -
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Ebbsfleet -
Slough Town 5
Eastbourne Town 1
Aveley 1
Margate 4
Bath City 2
Buckland 1
Bideford 0
Gosport Borough 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Heybridge 2
Newport Isle of Wight 0
Salisbury 3
Northwood 4
AFC Dunstable 1
Neots 1
Boreham Wood 2
Semi-finals
Cambridge Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Luton -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hyde -
TBD -
Frickley 2
Harrogate 3
United of Manchester 3
Kendal 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Guiseley 4
Colwyn Bay 2
Hednesford 3
Buxton 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Bradford PA 3
Carlton Town 1
Hinckley 2
Ossett Albion 3
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
AFC Fylde 4
Solihull Moors 1
Gresley 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4
Boston United 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Leek Town 0
Altrincham 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
Chester 2
Halifax 4
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Trafford 1
Marine 3
Workington 3
Barwell 1
TBD -
Mansfield -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Whitby 1
Stalybridge 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
South Park 3
Brentwood 1
Dereham 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Didcot 1
Maidenhead 0
Brackley 3
Arlesey 4
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Yate 2
North Leigh 1
TBD -
Newport -
Hastings 4
Hitchin 3
Sholing 1
Blackfield & Langley 3
Bromley 2
Dover Ath. 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
Worcester 2
Chelmsford 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Maidstone 0
East Thurrock Utd 3
AFC Totton 3
Merthyr Town 2
Billericay 3
Cambridge City 5
Welling 4
Thurrock 2
Chalfont St Peter 2
Stortford 4
Braintree -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Lowestoft 1
Dorchester 1
Basingstoke 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Bury Town 4
Gloucester City 1
Eastleigh 0
Badshot Lea 1
Chippenham Town 3
Corby 3
Histon 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hendon 4
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Slough Town 1
Margate 0
Bath City 2
Gosport Borough 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Salisbury 1
Northwood 0
Boreham Wood 4
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Cambridge Utd 0
Luton 2
Alfreton 2
Gateshead 0
Hyde 1
Harrogate 2
United of Manchester 0
Hereford 2
Barrow 2
Tamworth 0
Guiseley 2
Buxton 0
Grimsby 2
Kidderminster 4
Bradford PA 4
Ossett Albion 1
Wrexham 2
Southport 0
AFC Fylde 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Boston United 1
Altrincham 3
Lincoln City 2
Halifax 0
Macclesfield 3
Marine 1
Workington 1
Mansfield 2
Stockport County 5
Stalybridge 3
Telford 2
Nuneaton 3
South Park 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Didcot 0
Arlesey 1
Forest Green 5
Dartford 2
Yate 6
Newport 4
Hastings 3
Blackfield & Langley 0
Bromley 1
Worcester 0
Chelmsford 7
East Thurrock Utd 6
AFC Totton 2
Cambridge City 3
Welling 1
Stortford 3
Braintree 3
Lowestoft 2
Dorchester 3
Bury Town 1
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 0
Corby 1
Hendon 2
Woking 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Slough Town 2
Gosport Borough 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
Boreham Wood 3