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Harju JK Laagri vs Levadia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Harju JK Laagri Logo

Harju JK Laagri

1 - 2
FT
Levadia Logo

Levadia

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ainsalu M.
Assist: Skvortsov M.
39' Event
Binate A.
63'
Sub
Seck M. In: Kose A.
Out: Seck M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Harju JK Laagri and Levadia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Harju JK Laagri
20%
Draws
52%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Levadia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Levadia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 23
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.93 3.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Levadia
1:2
May 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Harju JK Laagri
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Levadia
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Levadia
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Harju JK Laagri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Binate A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ainsalu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 10 / 100
Levadia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Harju JK Laagri scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Levadia conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Levadia
2.13 Goals Scored 3.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)