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Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri host Nomme Utd in the Meistriliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Harju JK Laagri at 1.93 goals for, 1.57 against; Nomme Utd at 1.93 for, 2.21 against. Past meetings favor Harju JK Laagri slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.25, favoring Harju JK Laagri. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Harju JK Laagri
15%
Draws
39%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Harju JK Laagri and Nomme Utd have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Harju JK Laagri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 19%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Nomme Utd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Oct 30, 2025 Estonian Cup
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 85 / 100
Nomme Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Harju JK Laagri's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Nomme Utd
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)