Sport Picks
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri 
Match Events
10'
10'
Laur K.
Assist: Rudenko Daniil
14'
14'
Kriis K.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
Eerme K.
Assist: Kelement M.
AI Match Summary
Harju JK Laagri in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harju JK Laagri.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Paide Linnameeskond have won more games recently than Harju JK Laagri.
- Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 19%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harju JK Laagri | Paide Linnameeskond |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Jul 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond
5:2
Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Paide Linnameeskond
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harju JK Laagri Compare
Top Goalscorer Laur K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eerme K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Paide Linnameeskond Compare
Top Goalscorer Anier H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harju JK Laagri 85 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harju JK Laagri Paide Linnameeskond
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Harju JK Laagri's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Paide Linnameeskond conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.
Recent resilience: Harju JK Laagri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harju JK Laagri VS Paide Linnameeskond
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Harju JK Laagri
(Home) 03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10 Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
22 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 0 Kalju
16 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2 Levadia
11 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 1 Tamper
Page 1 of 3
Paide Linnameeskond
(Away) 19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2 Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2 Levadia
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2 Paide Linnameeskond
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2 Paide Linnameeskond
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37:47 | 44 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40:47 | 35 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39:57 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47:68 | 28 |
| 10 | Narva | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
