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Harkemase Boys vs ONS Sneek Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bruintjes M.
55' Event
Stelpstra R.
68' Event
Prijor G.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2019/2020 game between Harkemase Boys and ONS Sneek finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harkemase Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Harkemase Boys
30%
Draws
8%
ONS Sneek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Harkemase Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Harkemase Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Harkemase Boys here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 20%
ONS Sneek Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys ONS Sneek
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2020 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs Harkemase Boys
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs ONS Sneek
3:2
Feb 16, 2019 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs ONS Sneek
2:1
Sep 15, 2018 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs Harkemase Boys
1:2
Apr 21, 2018 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs Harkemase Boys
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harkemase Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruintjes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stelpstra R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

ONS Sneek Compare

Top Goalscorer Prijor G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuipers N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 85 / 100
ONS Sneek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys ONS Sneek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

ONS Sneek has conceded goals in 100% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Harkemase Boys has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harkemase Boys

(Home)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

ONS Sneek

(Away)
03 Sept
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
ONS Sneek
12 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0
ONS Sneek
09 Jul
Cambuur
11 : 0
ONS Sneek
07 Mar
Sparta Nijkerk
4 : 1
ONS Sneek
29 Feb
ONS Sneek
1 : 1
GOES
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)