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Harkemase Boys vs Ter Leede

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
de Kruijs L.
36' Event
Hoekstra D.
45' Event
de Kruijs L.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2022/2023 game between Harkemase Boys and Ter Leede finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Harkemase Boys
44%
Draws
20%
Ter Leede
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ter Leede haven't matched Harkemase Boys's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Ter Leede Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys Ter Leede
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Ter Leede
2:2
Sep 10, 2022 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Ter Leede
5:1
Oct 30, 2021 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs Harkemase Boys
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harkemase Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoekstra D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slort J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ter Leede Compare

Top Goalscorer de Kruijs L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 36 / 100
Ter Leede 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys Ter Leede

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Ter Leede let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Harkemase Boys stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV Assen34229371:3375
2GVVV34216777:4069
3SteDoCo341841259:4258
4Rijnvogels341751264:5556
5Barendrecht341851171:5455
6Sportlust341581152:5053
7DVS '33 Ermelo341571254:4352
8Sparta Nijkerk3413111045:4550
9HSV Hoek341621671:7250
10VV DOVO341531651:5648
11Staphorst341291338:4145
12Urk341331862:7642
13Harkemase Boys341081652:5638
14RKAV Volendam34991652:7236
15VVOG341051949:7135
16Excelsior 3134891747:5833
17Ter Leede34891750:6533
18ASWH34762125:6127
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ADO 20 Heemskerk34273485:3784
2VVSB34225787:5271
3USV Hercules34189764:3363
4Blauw Geel341510953:4555
5OJC Rosmalen341661258:5654
6HSC '21341491164:4251
7UNA341213955:4149
8TOGB3413101168:5649
9HV & CV Quick3413101159:4749
10DEM341391258:5348
11Gemert341451552:5947
12GVV Unitas341361543:5945
13Groene Ster3410131142:4443
14FC OSS '20348121439:5936
15Watergraafsmeer34881835:8032
16Baronie34842244:7028
17Dongen34672145:7725
18RKSV UDI 1934452526:6717