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Harksheide vs HEBC Hamburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 game between Harksheide and HEBC Hamburg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harksheide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Harksheide
20%
Draws
44%
HEBC Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • HEBC Hamburg have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Harksheide are scoring more at 1.57.
  • HEBC Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 16%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harksheide HEBC Hamburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs HEBC Hamburg
0:3
Apr 17, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs HEBC Hamburg
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Harksheide
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Harksheide
1:1
Sep 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs HEBC Hamburg
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harksheide 28 / 100
HEBC Hamburg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harksheide HEBC Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

HEBC Hamburg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Harksheide stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harksheide VS HEBC Hamburg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harksheide

(Home)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
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HEBC Hamburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
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