Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harksheide vs Paloma

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paloma in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Harksheide
22%
Draws
18%
Paloma
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Harksheide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paloma lately — more wins on the board than Harksheide.
  • Win probability leans Harksheide's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paloma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 12%
Paloma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harksheide Paloma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Paloma
1:5
Aug 24, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Harksheide
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Harksheide
4:1
Nov 1, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Paloma
4:5
Apr 26, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Paloma
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harksheide 56 / 100
Paloma 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harksheide Paloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Paloma conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Harksheide has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harksheide VS Paloma
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harksheide

(Home)
26 Jul
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Harksheide
15 May
HT 16
5 : 4
Harksheide
08 May
Harksheide
2 : 0
Curslack-Neuengamme
03 May
Halstenbek-Rellingen
0 : 4
Harksheide
25 Apr
Dassendorf
0 : 1
Harksheide
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Paloma

(Away)
24 Jul
HT 16
2 : 3
Paloma
04 Jul
Todesfelde
2 : 1
Paloma
15 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 : 6
Paloma
09 May
TSV Buchholz 08
4 : 0
Paloma
05 May
Paloma
2 : 3
Suderelbe
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