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Harland & Wolff vs Linfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-6. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Linfield have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Harland & Wolff have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.68. Past meetings favor Linfield slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2025, ending 3:6. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.94, favoring Linfield. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Harland & Wolff
20%
Draws
61%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Linfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Linfield's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Linfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 4 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Linfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 10%
Linfield Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harland & Wolff Linfield
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Irish League Cup
Harland & Wolff vs Linfield
3:6
Aug 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Harland & Wolff vs Linfield
0:9
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Harland & Wolff vs Linfield
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Harland & Wolff vs Linfield
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harland & Wolff 10 / 100
Linfield 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harland & Wolff Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Harland & Wolff scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Linfield conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Harland & Wolff remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harland & Wolff VS Linfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Harland & Wolff

(Home)
20 Oct
Armagh
1 : 3
Harland & Wolff
16 Oct
Glenavon
4 : 0
Harland & Wolff
10 Oct
Institute
0 : 0
Harland & Wolff
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
23 Oct
Portadown
1 : 2
Linfield
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
17 Oct
Carrick Rangers
2 : 2
Linfield
10 Oct
Linfield
2 : 0
Bangor FC
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
TBD -
Linfield -
1/8-finals
Warrenpoint -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
Queens University -
Limavady -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Moyola -
Ballymena -
Glentoran -
Larne -
Dungannon -
Coleraine -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -