Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harlow vs Hornchurch

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Sat, Oct 8, 2022
3 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Harlow advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Harlow
15%
Draws
57%
Hornchurch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hornchurch come out ahead of Harlow on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hornchurch taking it.
  • Hornchurch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Harlow, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Harlow Clean Sheet 10%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harlow Hornchurch
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.53 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 FA Trophy
Harlow vs Hornchurch
3:2
Apr 22, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hornchurch vs Harlow
3:0
Dec 29, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Harlow vs Hornchurch
2:4
Apr 13, 2009 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hornchurch vs Harlow
3:1
Dec 27, 2008 Isthmian League Premier Division
Harlow vs Hornchurch
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harlow 10 / 100
Hornchurch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harlow Hornchurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hornchurch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Harlow found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Hornchurch's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hornchurch let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Harlow VS Hornchurch
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Harlow

(Home)
25 Jul
Harlow
3 : 0
Margaretsbury
18 Jul
Harlow
0 : 5
Colchester
14 Jul
Harlow
0 : 5
Woodford Town
10 Jul
Harlow
0 : 2
Buckhurst Hill
07 Jul
Harlow
3 : 4
Takeley
Page 1 of 6

Hornchurch

(Away)
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0
Hornchurch
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0
Hornchurch
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Trafford 1
Hebburn Town 2
Witton Albion 3
Stockton 4
TBD -
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Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bootle -
Grimsby Borough -
Mossley AFC 1
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 7
Tadcaster Albion 0
Widnes FC 2
Skelmersdale 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
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Bridlington Town 1
Colne 2
Shildon 1
Consett 2
North Shields 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Sheffield FC 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ossett United 3
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Glossop North End 1
Clitheroe 2
1874 Northwich 1
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Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
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Coleshill Town 3
Neots 2
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Leek Town -
Stratford -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
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Aylesbury United 0
Evesham 3
Sholing 0
Lymington 1
Gainsborough -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 2
Gresley 0
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Corby 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cleethorpes 1
Brighouse Town 0
Worksop 2
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Daventry 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Carlton Town 2
Hanley Town 0
Wroxham 4
East Grinstead Town 1
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 2
Nuneaton -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Hinckley LR 4
Cambridge City 4
Yaxley 1
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Kempston 0
Dereham 1
Newcastle Town 0
Spalding United 2
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Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 4
Sporting Khalsa 3
Stamford 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Grantham Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 5
Biggleswade FC 2
Barton 0
Chatham 1
Bury Town 1
Stowmarket Town 2
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Bedworth United 0
Harborough 1
Shepshed 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Lancing 1
Cray Valley 4
East Thurrock Utd 3
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Great Wakering 1
Harlow 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ashford Town 3
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Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
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Welwyn Garden 1
New Salamis FC 2
Gorleston 1
Coggeshall Town 2
South Park 1
Sittingbourne 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Burgess Hill 3
Northwood 0
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 1
Ramsgate 0
Hendon -
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Thame United 2
Westbury United 0
Marlow 0
Binfield 4
Haringey Borough -
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Brightlingsea -
Chertsey Town 1
Uxbridge 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Hashtag 2
Walton & Hersham 3
Leatherhead 1
Haywards Heath 0
Southall FC 1
Ashford United 4
Sudbury 3
Three Bridges 3
Hullbridge 2
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Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
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Cray Wanderers -
VCD Athletic 0
Grays 3
Merstham 3
Hythe 0
Romania 2
Westfield 1
Chichester City 0
Faversham 1
Horsham FC -
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Aveley -
Billericay -
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Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 1
Brentwood 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Ware 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
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Hadley 1
Sevenoaks 2
Sheppey United 3
Hertford Town 4
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Beckenham Town 1
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Folkestone -
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Tooting & Mitcham 0
Corinthian 1
Tilbury 1
Whitehawk 2
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Slimbridge 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Exmouth Town 0
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Kidlington 0
Tavistock 1
Didcot 2
Hamworthy United 1
Bashley 4
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 0
Melksham 2
Swindon Supermarine -
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Basingstoke 3
Cirencester 5
Highworth 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Wimborne 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Willand Rovers 0
Bideford 3
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Semi-finals
Nantwich -
TBD -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
TBD -
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Radcliffe -
Hebburn Town 3
Stockton 1
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Bootle 0
Dunston 3
Macclesfield 5
Widnes FC 1
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
Colne 1
Consett 0
North Shields 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett United 2
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Clitheroe 4
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 4
Leek Town 5
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
Evesham 1
Lymington 0
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Long Eaton 0
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Prescot Cables 1
Worksop 3
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Carlton Town 1
Wroxham 5
Lowestoft 1
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Hinckley LR 1
Cambridge City 0
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Dereham 0
Spalding United 1
TBD -
Stafford -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 0
Chatham 0
Stowmarket Town 1
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Harborough 2
Shepshed 1
Bedford -
TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
TBD -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Cray Valley 5
East Thurrock Utd 3
Harlow 4
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
New Salamis FC 3
Coggeshall Town 0
Sittingbourne 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 2
Hendon -
TBD -
Thame United 1
Binfield 2
Haringey Borough -
TBD -
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Brightlingsea -
Uxbridge 2
Bedfont Sports 0
Walton & Hersham 4
Southall FC 0
Ashford United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Grays 4
Merstham 1
Romania 2
Faversham 3
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
FC Witham Town 2
Ware 1
Thatcham 0
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
TBD -
Sevenoaks 3
Hertford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesham -
Potters -
TBD -
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 1
Folkestone -
TBD -
Corinthian 2
Whitehawk 4
Kingstonian -
TBD -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
TBD -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
AFC Totton 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Truro -
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TBD -
Salisbury -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Tavistock 1
Didcot 0
Bashley 2
Melksham 3
Swindon Supermarine -
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Cirencester 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Bideford 2
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Final
Nantwich 0
Warrington Rylands 2
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Hebburn Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 0
Dunston 1
Macclesfield 6
Bamber Bridge 1
Hyde 2
Colne 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ossett United 1
Guiseley 3
Whitby 1
Morpeth 2
Lancaster 3
United of Manchester 0
Liversedge 1
Stalybridge 1
South Shields 2
Clitheroe 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
Leek Town 3
Stratford 1
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Evesham 0
Gainsborough 3
Barwell 1
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Worksop 2
Coalville Town 4
Ilkeston 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Wroxham 3
Nuneaton 2
Hinckley LR 0
Needham Market 0
Stourbridge 1
Hitchin 0
Redditch 3
Spalding United 1
Stafford 2
Belper Town 2
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Tamworth 4
Bromsgrove 0
Chasetown 3
Matlock 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stowmarket Town 2
Mickleover 1
Basford Utd. 2
Harborough 1
Bedford 0
Alvechurch 3
Rushall 3
Hednesford 4
Carshalton 3
Cray Valley 2
Harlow 3
Hornchurch 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
New Salamis FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Hendon 0
Binfield 1
Haringey Borough 1
Brightlingsea 0
Uxbridge 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Ashford United 1
Kings Langley 2
Hanwell Town 3
Cray Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 4
Aveley 3
Billericay 2
Margate 0
Beaconsfield Town 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Hastings 1
FC Witham Town 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 0
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Harrow Borough 3
Herne Bay 1
Stortford 2
Enfield Town 0
Chesham 4
Potters 0
Heybridge 2
Folkestone 2
Whitehawk 1
Kingstonian 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Bognor Regis 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Canvey Island 1
Bracknell Town 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Merthyr Town 0
AFC Totton 1
Truro 1
Salisbury 0
Yate 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Tavistock 3
Melksham 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Cirencester 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gosport Borough 0
North Leigh 4
Tiverton 3
Winchester City 2
Poole Town 0
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