Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haro Deportivo vs Racing Rioja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between Haro Deportivo and Racing Rioja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haro Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Haro Deportivo
15%
Draws
0%
Racing Rioja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Haro Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Haro Deportivo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haro Deportivo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haro Deportivo Racing Rioja
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Racing Rioja
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Haro Deportivo
0:0
Jul 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Haro Deportivo vs Racing Rioja
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Racing Rioja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haro Deportivo 85 / 100
Racing Rioja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haro Deportivo Racing Rioja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haro Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haro Deportivo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Racing Rioja registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Haro Deportivo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Racing Rioja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Haro Deportivo VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haro Deportivo

(Home)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

Racing Rioja

(Away)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)