Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrogate vs Blackpool

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Exercise Stadium, Harrogate
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Smith R.
Assist: Evans J.
13' Event
O'Connor A.
17' Event
Muldoon J.
Assist: Smith R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Harrogate advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Harrogate
15%
Draws
8%
Blackpool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Blackpool haven't matched Harrogate's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Harrogate's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Harrogate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Blackpool, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Blackpool here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 11%
Blackpool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrogate Blackpool
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Harrogate vs Blackpool
4:2
Nov 12, 2024 EFL Trophy
Harrogate vs Blackpool
2:3
Nov 28, 2020 FA Cup
Harrogate vs Blackpool
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrogate Compare

Top Goalscorer Muldoon J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Blackpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fletcher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrogate 83 / 100
Blackpool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrogate Blackpool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrogate found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Blackpool's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Harrogate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harrogate VS Blackpool
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrogate

(Home)
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1
Tamworth
Page 1 of 6

Blackpool

(Away)
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4
Plymouth
12 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 2
Bromley
05 Sept
Reading
3 : 1
Blackpool
02 Sept
Barnsley
2 : 1
Blackpool
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3