Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrogate vs Eastleigh

England England

National League Exercise Stadium, Harrogate
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dolaghan B.
25' Event
Cousins J.
39' Event
Dolaghan B.

AI Match Summary

Harrogate in this National League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harrogate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Harrogate
15%
Draws
26%
Eastleigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harrogate lately — more wins on the board than Eastleigh.
  • Harrogate are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 68%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrogate Eastleigh
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
Harrogate vs Eastleigh
4:1
Feb 22, 2020 National League
Harrogate vs Eastleigh
3:0
Feb 8, 2020 FA Trophy
Harrogate vs Eastleigh
2:0
Nov 2, 2019 National League
Eastleigh vs Harrogate
4:2
Dec 22, 2018 National League
Eastleigh vs Harrogate
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrogate Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolaghan B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hobson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Cousins J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrogate 77 / 100
Eastleigh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrogate Eastleigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrogate scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Eastleigh let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Harrogate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harrogate VS Eastleigh
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrogate

(Home)
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

Eastleigh

(Away)
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Southend
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)