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Stadium Background

Harrow Borough vs Beaconsfield Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Louis J.
78' Event
Louis J.
90' Event
Osobu V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Beaconsfield Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Harrow Borough
15%
Draws
28%
Beaconsfield Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrow Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Harrow Borough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Harrow Borough a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Harrow Borough have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Harrow Borough, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 16%
Beaconsfield Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrow Borough Beaconsfield Town
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Beaconsfield Town
2:1
Nov 14, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Harrow Borough
3:1
Oct 28, 2023 FA Trophy
Harrow Borough vs Beaconsfield Town
1:2
Feb 4, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Beaconsfield Town
1:0
Sep 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Beaconsfield Town vs Harrow Borough
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrow Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Beaconsfield Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Louis J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrow Borough 84 / 100
Beaconsfield Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrow Borough Beaconsfield Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrow Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Beaconsfield Town conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Harrow Borough found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Harrow Borough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harrow Borough VS Beaconsfield Town
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrow Borough

(Home)
13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2
Harrow Borough
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1
FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Beaconsfield Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Beaconsfield Town
1 : 2
Sheppey United
01 Aug
Beaconsfield Town
5 : 4
Kingstonian
06 Sept
Fareham
4 : 1
Beaconsfield Town
26 Jul
Bedfont Sports
1 : 3
Beaconsfield Town
22 Jul
Beaconsfield Town
0 : 7
St. Albans
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hereford -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Redbridge 2
Bognor Regis 3
Gosport Borough 0
South Park 2
Leighton Town 1
Frome Town 1
Cribbs 0
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Poole Town 2
Bracknell Town 3
Larkhall 1
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 2
Merthyr Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 0
Leiston 1
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 5
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 1
Stamford 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Cray Valley 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
North Ferriby FC 0
Matlock 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 4
Halesowen 1
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Guiseley 1
Alvechurch 0
Coalville Town 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Basingstoke 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Aveley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 3
Marine 1
Westfield 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
Truro -
Banbury -
TBD -
Nuneaton 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Stafford 5
Quorn 3
TBD -
Brackley -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Farsley -
TBD -
United of Manchester 2
Radcliffe 3
Redditch 3
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Rushall -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 1
Avro 0
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 5
Bury Town 0
TBD -
Tamworth -
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Worksop 0
Mickleover 5
Hendon 2
Walton & Hersham 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Hythe 3
Ramsgate 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Kingstonian 0
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Lewes 2
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Stratford 0
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
1/64-finals
Hereford 4
Redbridge 1
Bognor Regis 1
South Park 4
Frome Town 3
Worthing FC 2
Torquay 2
Yeovil 1
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare 4
Cray Wanderers 1
TBD -
Woking -
Bracknell Town 0
Horsham FC 3
AFC Totton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Leiston 1
Peterborough Sports 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Stourbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 3
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
Cray Valley 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Curzon Ashton 2
Matlock 0
Alfreton 2
Macclesfield 4
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Stortford 3
St. Albans 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Walsall Wood 2
Coalville Town 2
Boston United 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Slough Town 2
Farnborough 1
Chippenham Town 2
Basingstoke 1
Gloucester City 3
Braintree 0
Aveley 2
St Ives Town 1
Hungerford 2
Truro 0
Banbury 2
Nuneaton 4
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling 3
Taunton Town 2
Stafford 0
Brackley 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Southport 4
South Shields 0
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 2
Rushall 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Dartford 0
Maidstone 1
Oxford City -
TBD -
Harborough 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Billericay 3
Tamworth 1
Oldham -
TBD -
Spennymoor 1
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 4
Weymouth 5
Hythe 1
Tonbridge 0
Whitehawk 3
Lewes 1
Chorley 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Warrington Town 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Scunthorpe 2
Darlington FC 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Chester 0
TBD -
York City -
1/32-finals
Hereford 1
South Park 0
Frome Town 1
Torquay 4
Rochdale 1
Gateshead 5
Weston-super-Mare 3
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Kidderminster 4
Stourbridge 1
Halifax 0
Altrincham 1
City Of Liverpool 1
Hartlepool 5
Southend 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Curzon Ashton 0
Macclesfield 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Maidenhead 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Stortford 2
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 3
Bath City 1
Boreham Wood 0
Walsall Wood 0
Coalville Town 2
Bromley 1
Slough Town 0
Chippenham Town 5
Gloucester City 3
Aveley 2
Hungerford 1
Nuneaton 2
AFC Fylde 3
Welling 2
Brackley 1
Chesterfield 6
Southport 1
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 0
Barnet 4
Maidstone 0
Oxford City 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone 4
Billericay 1
Oldham 4
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Weymouth 0
Hythe 3
Whitehawk 2
Chorley 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 2
Nantwich 3
York City 2
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
Torquay 0
Gateshead 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Horsham FC 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Kidderminster 1
Altrincham 0
Hartlepool 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Macclesfield 5
Dorking Wanderers 0
Stortford 6
Aldershot 1
Bath City 0
Coalville Town 1
Bromley 2
Chippenham Town 1
Aveley 1
AFC Fylde 0
Welling 2
Chesterfield 0
Radcliffe 1
Barnet 2
Chelmsford 0
Wealdstone 1
Oldham 1
Hendon 2
Hythe 1
Chorley 2
Solihull Moors 5
Nantwich 1
1/8-finals
Hereford 0
Gateshead 1
Peterborough Sports 1
Kidderminster 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Macclesfield 2
Stortford 0
Coalville Town 3
Bromley 2
Aveley 0
Welling 0
Barnet 3
Wealdstone 4
Hendon 0
Chorley 1
Solihull Moors 3
Quarter-finals
Gateshead 3
Peterborough Sports 2
Macclesfield 3
Coalville Town 0
Bromley 2
Barnet 0
Wealdstone 1
Solihull Moors 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead 2
Macclesfield 1
Bromley 1
Solihull Moors 2
Final
Gateshead 3
Solihull Moors 2