Sport Picks
Harrow Borough vs Chesham
England
Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mfinda R.
32'
32'
Murphy K.
43'
43'
Murphy K.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 game between Harrow Borough and Chesham finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrow Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Harrow Borough a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 13%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Chesham
1:4
Jan 1, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Harrow Borough
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Harrow Borough
2:2
Oct 11, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Chesham
2:1
Dec 11, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Chesham
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrow Borough Compare
Top Goalscorer Mfinda R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Adebiyi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrow Borough 75 / 100
Chesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrow Borough Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrow Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chesham conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Harrow Borough found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Harrow Borough stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harrow Borough VS Chesham
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrow Borough
(Home) 13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2 Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2 Harrow Borough
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1 FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0 Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1 FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0 Jersey Bulls
06 Sept
Harrow Borough
1 : 0 Eastbourne Town
20 Apr
Harrow Borough
1 : 2 Tiverton
06 Apr
Harrow Borough
2 : 1 Beaconsfield Town
Page 1 of 3
Chesham
(Away) 26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chesham | 42 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 83:46 | 90 |
| 2 | AFC Totton | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 89:45 | 81 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 42 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 70:46 | 79 |
| 4 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 75:43 | 78 |
| 5 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 84:71 | 68 |
| 6 | Merthyr Town | 42 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 85:59 | 67 |
| 7 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 78:67 | 65 |
| 8 | Hungerford | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 77:70 | 64 |
| 9 | Dorchester | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 66:77 | 60 |
| 10 | Hendon | 42 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 70:65 | 58 |
| 11 | Winchester City | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 63:67 | 57 |
| 12 | Basingstoke | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 69:83 | 53 |
| 13 | Poole Town | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 70:76 | 52 |
| 14 | Tiverton | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 64:74 | 52 |
| 15 | Sholing | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 52:63 | 49 |
| 16 | Swindon Supermarine | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 73:92 | 49 |
| 17 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 48 |
| 18 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 60:68 | 48 |
| 19 | Beaconsfield Town | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 63:78 | 48 |
| 20 | Hayes & Yeading | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 59:67 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrow Borough | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 60:97 | 39 |
| 22 | Didcot | 42 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 45:94 | 28 |
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
