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Harstad vs Alta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harstad host Alta in the Division 3 - Group 5. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Alta have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Harstad have conceded 1.73 and scored 2.83. Past meetings favor Alta slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.06 - 2.25) back Alta to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Harstad
15%
Draws
46%
Alta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Harstad average 2.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Alta's 2.53.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%
Alta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Alta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.83 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Alta vs Harstad
2:1
Oct 22, 2016 Division 2 - Group 1
Alta vs Harstad
3:1
Jul 2, 2016 Division 2 - Group 1
Harstad vs Alta
1:1
Sep 28, 2013 Division 2 - Group 2
Harstad vs Alta
1:3
Jun 16, 2013 Division 2 - Group 2
Alta vs Harstad
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 30 / 100
Alta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Alta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Harstad scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Alta conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Harstad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Alta
3.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
04 Oct
Harstad
2 : 2
Skedsmo
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
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Alta

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulfstind
0 : 2
Alta
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
21 Sept
Alta
2 : 0
Stromsgodset 2
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
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