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Harstad vs Floya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Christensen S.
22' Event
Andersen G.
49' Event
Bogdan H.

AI Match Summary

Harstad in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Harstad
15%
Draws
46%
Floya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Floya have won more games recently than Harstad.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%
Floya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Floya
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.83 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.73 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Floya
3:2
May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Floya vs Harstad
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Floya vs Harstad
0:3
Jun 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Floya
2:5
Aug 10, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Harstad
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Christensen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Floya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdan H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whalen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 30 / 100
Floya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Floya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Harstad scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Floya conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Harstad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Floya
3.13 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
04 Oct
Harstad
2 : 2
Skedsmo
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
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Floya

(Away)
03 Oct
Floya
5 : 1
Bossekop
27 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
2 : 4
Floya
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
13 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
1 : 5
Floya
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