Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harstad vs Innstrandens

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Sat, Sep 13, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harstad host Innstrandens in the Division 3 - Group 1 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Harstad have averaged 2.77 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Innstrandens's 1 scored and 4 conceded. Past meetings favor Harstad slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.50) point toward Harstad. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Harstad
15%
Draws
20%
Innstrandens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Harstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Harstad a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Harstad Clean Sheet 16%
Innstrandens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Innstrandens
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 2.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Innstrandens
0:0
Jun 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Innstrandens vs Harstad
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Innstrandens
0:1
May 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Innstrandens vs Harstad
0:3
Sep 1, 2012 Division 3 - Group 11
Harstad vs Innstrandens
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 84 / 100
Innstrandens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Innstrandens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Innstrandens's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Harstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
Page 1 of 6

Innstrandens

(Away)
26 Mar
Innstrandens
0 : 8
Bodo/Glimt
27 Oct
Innstrandens
0 : 4
Sprint-Jeloy
20 Oct
Harstad
0 : 1
Innstrandens
13 Oct
Innstrandens
3 : 4
Skjervoy