Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Kjelseth M.
75'
75'
Windstad T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Harstad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Harstad come out ahead of Melbo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Harstad's way, sitting at 90%.
- Harstad have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Harstad, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Harstad Clean Sheet 16%
Melbo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harstad | Melbo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 15 |
| Wins | 18 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.79 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2021 NM Cup
Harstad vs Melbo
2:0
Aug 4, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Harstad
4:1
May 16, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Melbo
0:3
Sep 23, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Melbo
6:1
Jun 2, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Harstad
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Kjelseth M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Windstad T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Melbo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harstad 84 / 100
Melbo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harstad Melbo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Harstad scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.
Melbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Harstad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Harstad VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Harstad
(Home) 12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1 Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1 Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2 Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4 Harstad
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1 Ulfstind
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2 Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
08 Aug
Harstad
7 : 0 Skjervoy
25 Jul
Harstad
10 : 1 Fauske Sprint
Page 1 of 4
Melbo
(Away) 13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1 Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3 Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0 Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1 Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1 Melbo
Page 1 of 3
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0 Melbo
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1 Melbo
19 Sept
Stabaek 2
0 : 1 Melbo
04 Sept
Mjolner
1 : 0 Melbo
29 Aug
Junkeren
2 : 3 Melbo
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Sola 1
Madla IL 0
Hinna 0
Bryne 4
Herd 0
Hodd 3
Spjelkavik 1
Molde 4
Ullern 3
Asker 1
Lyn 0
Valerenga 4
Flint 1
Fram 2
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Odds BK 1
Ardal 0
Floro 1
Fjora 0
Sogndal 3
Stord 3
Haugesund 2
Lysekloster 1
Asane 2
OS TF 2
Oygarden FK 6
Sandviken 1
Fyllingsdalen 2
Nordstrand 3
Baerum 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Vestfossen 1
Moss 3
Krakeroy 0
Fredrikstad 3
Akra 3
V. Haugesund 2
Brodd 0
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 2
Egersund 1
IL Express 0
Start 8
Halsen 1
Notodden 5
Assiden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Toten 0
Brumunddal 1
Ham-Kam 2
Gjellerasen 1
Eidsvold TF 4
Nybergsund 0
Raufoss 1
Ready 4
Grei 0
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 2
Orn 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Follo 0
Stabaek 1
Kolstad 0
Levanger 5
Byasen 3
Ranheim 4
Sunndal 0
Brattvag 4
Traeff 0
Aalesund 4
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Skanland 0
Tromso 11
Junkeren 2
Mjolner 0
Rana FK 1
Bodo/Glimt 4
Verdal 0
Nardo 6
Ntnui 0
Stjordals Blink 6
Mandalskameratene 1
Arendal 2
Pors 1
Sandefjord 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 0
Kjelsas 1
Stovner 2
Grorud 5
Oppsal 0
Skeid 2
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Lillestrom 4
Floya 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Frigg 2
KFUM Oslo 4
Tynset 1
Tiller 4
Volda 2
Kristiansund 4
Harstad 2
Melbo 0
Finnsnes 0
Senja 3
Fana 2
Sotra 1
Bjarg 0
Brann 5
Elverum 1
Kongsvinger 3
Lorenskog 1
Strommen 2
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 1
Donn 1
Jerv 2
Vardeneset 0
Djerv 1919 3
Staal Jorpeland 2
Viking 3
Strindheim 2
Orkla 4
Melhus 0
Rosenborg 7
1/32-finals
Sola 0
Bryne 6
Hodd 1
Molde 2
Ullern 1
Valerenga 3
Fram 0
Odds BK 1
Floro 1
Sogndal 5
Stord 0
Asane 4
Oygarden FK 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Nordstrand 0
Sarpsborg 08 3
Moss 3
Fredrikstad 1
Akra 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 0
Start 2
Notodden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 3
Eidsvold TF 1
Raufoss 3
Ready 0
Stromsgodset 1
Ull/Kisa 0
Stabaek 1
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Brattvag 2
Aalesund 3
Alta 3
Tromso 1
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 3
Stjordals Blink 0
Arendal 5
Sandefjord 4
Kjelsas 0
Grorud 1
Skeid 1
Lillestrom 2
Floya 1
KFUM Oslo 5
Tiller 1
Kristiansund 5
Harstad 3
Senja 2
Fana 0
Brann 3
Kongsvinger 3
Strommen 0
Flekkeroy 3
Jerv 2
Djerv 1919 0
Viking 2
Orkla 1
Rosenborg 11
1/16-finals
Bryne 1
Molde 4
Valerenga 0
Odds BK 3
Sogndal 0
Asane 2
Oygarden FK 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Moss 1
Sandnes Ulf 7
Start 4
Mjondalen 2
Ham-Kam 1
Raufoss 2
Stromsgodset 5
Stabaek 1
Ranheim 1
Aalesund 2
Alta 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Nardo 3
Arendal 2
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
KFUM Oslo 3
Kristiansund 1
Harstad 0
Brann 5
Kongsvinger 4
Flekkeroy 1
Viking 3
Rosenborg 1
1/8-finals
Molde 3
Odds BK 2
Asane 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Sandnes Ulf 2
Start 0
Raufoss 1
Stromsgodset 2
Aalesund 0
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 0
Lillestrom 4
KFUM Oslo 1
Brann 0
Kongsvinger 0
Viking 2
Quarter-finals
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Stromsgodset 4
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Viking 5
Semi-finals
Molde 3
Stromsgodset 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Viking 1
Final
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
