Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Aronsen S.
59'
59'
Andreassen S.
78'
78'
Uteng O.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Harstad in this NM Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Harstad lately — more wins on the board than Senja.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Harstad taking it.
- Harstad have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Harstad, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Harstad have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Harstad Clean Sheet 16%
Senja Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harstad | Senja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.78 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Harstad
1:4
Jul 23, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Senja
0:3
May 18, 2022 NM Cup
Harstad vs Senja
2:1
Jul 31, 2021 NM Cup
Harstad vs Senja
3:2
Aug 18, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Senja
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Aronsen S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Andreassen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Senja Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harstad 84 / 100
Senja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harstad Senja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harstad's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Senja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Harstad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Harstad VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Harstad
(Home) 19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1 Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1 Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1 Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2 Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1 Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1 Ulfstind
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2 Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
08 Aug
Harstad
7 : 0 Skjervoy
Page 1 of 4
Senja
(Away) 10 Apr
Senja
1 : 6 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2 Senja
16 Oct
Senja
0 : 0 Skjervoy
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0 Senja
01 Oct
Senja
2 : 1 Floya
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2 Senja
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0 Senja
25 Sept
Lillestrom 2
1 : 1 Senja
11 Sept
Gjellerasen
3 : 1 Senja
28 Aug
Stromsgodset 2
7 : 1 Senja
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Sprint-Jeloy 2
Moss 3
Ostsiden 0
Sarpsborg 08 7
Pors 2
Arendal 3
Randesund 0
Start 6
Elverum 2
Ottestad 1
Furnes 0
Ham-Kam 7
Floya 1
Skjervoy 2
Ishavsbyen 0
Tromso 8
Ullern 3
Asker 0
Gamle Oslo 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Bjarg 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Floro 0
Sogndal 5
Junkeren 3
Mjolner 2
Eidsvold IF 0
Lillestrom 7
Forde 1
Hodd 5
Fjora 0
Aalesund 3
Skjetten 0
Ull/Kisa 3
Follo 0
Grorud 1
Tiller 0
Nardo 2
Dahle 1
Ranheim 8
Brumunddal 2
Strommen 0
Kolbu 1
Valerenga 5
Harstad 2
Senja 1
Rana FK 0
Bodo/Glimt 4
Traeff 4
V. Haugesund 5
Rosseland 1
Viking 6
Melhus 1
Strindheim 3
Surnadal 1
Kristiansund 4
Sola 1
Egersund 3
Vardeneset 1
Sandnes Ulf 4
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 2
Verdal 0
Rosenborg 6
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Raufoss 1
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 4
Assiden 1
Notodden 2
Lyn 2
Stabaek 3
Finnsnes 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 4
Bossekop 0
Alta 2
Vidar 4
Staal Jorpeland 0
Brodd 0
Bryne 2
Gjellerasen 3
Kjelsas 4
Askollen 2
Mjondalen 6
Nordstrand 0
Frigg 1
Oppsal 0
Skeid 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Lorenskog 1
Kongsvinger 2
Spjelkavik 0
Brattvag 4
Herd 0
Molde 2
OS TF 6
Asane 5
Voss 0
Brann 7
Baerum 1
Kvik Halden 2
Rade 0
Fredrikstad 1
Gneist IL 1
Sotra 3
Bremnes 2
Oygarden FK 5
Froya 2
Fana 3
Djerv 1919 1
Haugesund 3
Byasen 1
Kolstad 0
Orkla 3
Stjordals Blink 6
Flint 2
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Halsen 1
Sandefjord 4
Fram 1
Orn 0
IL Express 0
Jerv 7
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 6
Hei 1
Odds BK 6
1/32-finals
Moss 1
Sarpsborg 08 0
Arendal 2
Start 3
Elverum 1
Ham-Kam 3
Skjervoy 1
Tromso 4
Ullern 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Bjarg 1
Sogndal 4
Junkeren 1
Lillestrom 2
Hodd 0
Aalesund 3
Ull/Kisa 2
Grorud 1
Nardo 0
Ranheim 1
Brumunddal 3
Valerenga 4
Harstad 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
V. Haugesund 1
Viking 2
Strindheim 1
Kristiansund 3
Egersund 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Levanger 1
Rosenborg 2
Gjovik-Lyn 3
Stromsgodset 2
Notodden 1
Stabaek 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Alta 0
Vidar 1
Bryne 3
Kjelsas 1
Mjondalen 0
Frigg 0
Skeid 1
Eidsvold TF 3
Kongsvinger 2
Brattvag 2
Molde 4
OS TF 1
Brann 6
Kvik Halden 0
Fredrikstad 1
Sotra -
Oygarden FK -
Fana 0
Haugesund 1
Byasen 4
Stjordals Blink 3
Flint 1
Sandefjord 5
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 2
Odds BK 3
1/16-finals
Moss 0
Start 3
Ham-Kam 0
Tromso 1
KFUM Oslo 1
Sogndal 2
Lillestrom 1
Aalesund 0
Ull/Kisa 0
Ranheim 2
Valerenga 0
Bodo/Glimt 1
Viking 1
Kristiansund 0
Sandnes Ulf 0
Rosenborg 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Stabaek 7
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Bryne 1
Kjelsas 3
Skeid 4
Eidsvold TF 1
Molde 4
Brann 6
Fredrikstad 0
Sotra 0
Haugesund 1
Byasen 1
Sandefjord 2
Jerv 2
Odds BK 3
1/8-finals
Start 1
Tromso 2
Sogndal 1
Lillestrom 2
Ranheim 0
Bodo/Glimt 4
Viking 2
Rosenborg 0
Stabaek 5
Bryne 0
Skeid 1
Molde 3
Brann 3
Haugesund 1
Sandefjord 4
Odds BK 1
Quarter-finals
Tromso 2
Lillestrom 3
Bodo/Glimt 5
Viking 3
Stabaek 2
Molde 1
Brann 3
Sandefjord 0
Semi-finals
Lillestrom 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Stabaek 0
Brann 2
Final
Lillestrom 0
Brann 2
