Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Hartberg Logo

Hartberg

2 - 2
FT
Rapid Vienna Logo

Rapid Vienna

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Spendlhofer L.
46'
Kara E.
47' Event
Bolla B.
Assist: Seidl M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hartberg and Rapid Vienna finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hartberg
15%
Draws
46%
Rapid Vienna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapid Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rapid Vienna come out ahead of Hartberg on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Rapid Vienna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%
Rapid Vienna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg Rapid Vienna
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Spendlhofer L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pazourek L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Rapid Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolla B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahl P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.24
Avg xA / game 1.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg 14 / 100
Rapid Vienna 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg Rapid Vienna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapid Vienna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartberg scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Rapid Vienna let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hartberg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg VS Rapid Vienna
1.14 Goals Scored 3.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg

(Home)
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
22 Aug
Altach
1 : 2
Hartberg
16 Aug
Hartberg
0 : 2
Austria Vienna
08 Aug
Hartberg
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
01 Aug
Salzburg
1 : 0
Hartberg
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Rapid Vienna

(Away)
02 Sept
Salzburg
5 : 1
Rapid Vienna
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
26 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2 : 3
Hearts
20 Aug
Hearts
2 : 2
Rapid Vienna
16 Aug
Rapid Vienna
8 : 0
Grazer AK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LASK Linz 32 17 7 8 56:42 39
2 Sturm Graz 32 16 8 8 51:35 37
3 Salzburg 32 13 9 10 56:41 29
4 Austria Vienna 32 14 5 13 45:50 29
5 Rapid Vienna 32 12 8 12 36:41 27
6 Hartberg 32 10 12 10 40:40 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)