Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Schopp K.
60'
Schopp K.
60'
Schopp K.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Hartberg and Sturm Graz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hartberg
15%
Draws
46%
Sturm Graz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hartberg haven't matched Sturm Graz's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sturm Graz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 15%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg Sturm Graz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
0:2
May 10, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
2:4
Apr 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiper N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg 31 / 100
Sturm Graz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hartberg scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sturm Graz has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hartberg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg VS Sturm Graz
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg

(Home)
08 Aug
Hartberg
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
01 Aug
Salzburg
1 : 0
Hartberg
26 Jul
SC Imst
1 : 3
Hartberg
18 Jul
Hartberg
0 : 2
ASK Voitsberg
18 Jul
Hartberg
2 : 0
First Vienna
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz

(Away)
11 Aug
Sturm Graz
0 : 1
Fenerbahce
08 Aug
Hartberg
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
05 Aug
Fenerbahce
2 : 0
Sturm Graz
01 Aug
Tirol
1 : 1
Sturm Graz
28 Jul
Hearts
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 LASK Linz 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
3 Salzburg 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 Sturm Graz 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Wolfsberger AC 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
6 A. Lustenau 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Altach 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
8 Austria Vienna 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
9 Grazer AK 3 1 0 2 2:12 3
10 Ried 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
11 Tirol 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
12 Hartberg 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)