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Hartenholm vs Heider SV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2016/2017 game between Hartenholm and Heider SV finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heider SV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hartenholm
30%
Draws
33%
Heider SV
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartenholm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hartenholm haven't matched Heider SV's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hartenholm's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hartenholm Clean Sheet 17%
Heider SV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartenholm Heider SV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Hartenholm vs Heider SV
0:3
Aug 20, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Hartenholm
1:1
May 5, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Hartenholm
2:2
Aug 5, 2015 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Hartenholm vs Heider SV
1:2
Apr 19, 2015 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Hartenholm vs Heider SV
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartenholm 84 / 100
Heider SV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartenholm Heider SV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartenholm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heider SV conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hartenholm scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Hartenholm has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Heider SV
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartenholm

(Home)
20 May
Eutin 08
3 : 2
Hartenholm
14 May
Hartenholm
4 : 2
Oldenburger SV
06 May
Hartenholm
4 : 1
TSG Concordia Schonkirchen
29 Apr
Hartenholm
2 : 2
Todesfelde
26 Apr
Hartenholm
3 : 3
Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 6

Heider SV

(Away)
04 Oct
Oldenburger SV
4 : 0
Heider SV
26 Sept
Eichede
5 : 1
Heider SV
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
PSV Neumunster
2 : 4
Heider SV
05 Sept
Heider SV
1 : 1
Rotenhof
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eutin 08 34 29 4 1 100:23 91
2 Holstein Kiel II 34 21 7 6 73:34 70
3 VfR Neumunster 34 21 4 9 76:41 67
4 TSB Flensburg 34 18 8 8 85:48 62
5 Flensburg 08 34 18 8 8 79:47 62
6 NTSV Strand 08 34 19 4 11 74:50 61
7 Heider SV 34 17 7 10 71:47 58
8 Schilksee 34 17 6 11 75:45 57
9 Todesfelde 34 15 7 12 72:57 52
10 TSV Lagerdorf 34 14 5 15 59:63 47
11 Frisia Risum-Lindholm 34 12 7 15 54:68 43
12 PSV Neumunster 34 11 8 15 54:65 41
13 Hartenholm 34 9 8 17 52:73 35
14 TSV Kropp 34 9 5 20 53:75 32
15 Oldenburger SV 34 9 4 21 52:95 28
16 Altenholz 34 9 1 24 37:89 28
17 TSG Concordia Schonkirchen 34 5 4 25 46:115 19
18 Kilia Kiel 34 4 1 29 32:109 13
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)