Sport Picks
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive
USA
USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium, East Hartford, CT 
Match Events
12'
12'
Calvillo E.
24'
24'
Alfaro J.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Abitia D.
Assist: Twumasi K.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Hartford Athletic and El Paso Locomotive finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hartford Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Paso Locomotive carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hartford Athletic are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartford Athletic | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive
0:4
Mar 29, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Hartford Athletic
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive
0:2
Jun 5, 2022 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Hartford Athletic
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartford Athletic Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Calvillo E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abitia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartford Athletic 40 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartford Athletic El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: El Paso Locomotive conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: El Paso Locomotive has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hartford Athletic VS El Paso Locomotive
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartford Athletic
(Home) 18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Westchester SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Westchester SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 May
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 New Mexico
09 May
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Detroit City
Page 1 of 2
El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
10 Jun
Detroit City
1 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
07 Jun
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Charleston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 10 | Lexington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)