Sport Picks
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
USA
USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium, East Hartford, CT 
Match Events
13'
13'
Presthus T.
16'
16'
Coffey B.
30'
30'
Tunbridge M.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Hartford Athletic and Miami FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartford Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Miami FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Hartford Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Hartford Athletic have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 18%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartford Athletic | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
0:1
Aug 6, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartford Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Coffey B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Miami FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Locadia J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartford Athletic 32 / 100
Miami FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartford Athletic Miami FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Miami FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Miami FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Hartford Athletic scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hartford Athletic VS Miami FC
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartford Athletic
(Home) 04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
Miami FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 1 Miami FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 1 Miami FC
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
