Sport Picks
Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico
USA
USL Championship Trinity Health Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Hartford Athletic host New Mexico in the USL Championship. This one's hard to separate. Hartford Athletic have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against New Mexico's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Hartford Athletic slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.00) back New Mexico to edge this. New Mexico in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- New Mexico has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hartford Athletic.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Championship provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartford Athletic | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hartford Athletic scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
New Mexico let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Hartford Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
New Mexico lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |