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Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Feb 20, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hartford Athletic host Rhode Island in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hartford Athletic have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Rhode Island's 1.54 scored and 0.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Hartford Athletic have won 1 to Rhode Island's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.13) back Rhode Island to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Hartford Athletic
20%
Draws
42%
Rhode Island
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rhode Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rhode Island come out ahead of Hartford Athletic on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartford Athletic Rhode Island
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 USL Cup
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
0:1
Apr 1, 2026 US Open Cup
Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartford Athletic 31 / 100
Rhode Island 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartford Athletic Rhode Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartford Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhode Island has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Hartford Athletic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Hartford Athletic's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hartford Athletic VS Rhode Island
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartford Athletic

(Home)
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
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Rhode Island

(Away)
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3
Rhode Island
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0
Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
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