Sport Picks
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh
England
National League 2025/2026 Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Match Events
29'
29'
Miley J.
30'
30'
Daly M.
53'
53'
Saunders H.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Hartlepool and Eastleigh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartlepool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartlepool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Eastleigh haven't matched Hartlepool's recent run of results.
- Hartlepool are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 19%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartlepool | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 National League
Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer Daly M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Eastleigh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartlepool 85 / 100
Eastleigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartlepool Eastleigh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastleigh has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.
Eastleigh lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Hartlepool's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: Hartlepool remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hartlepool VS Eastleigh
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3 Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2 Hartlepool
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Apr
Hartlepool
4 : 3 Southend
18 Apr
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Forest Green
06 Apr
Hartlepool
0 : 0 Rochdale
Page 1 of 3
Eastleigh
(Away) 01 Aug
Farnham
1 : 0 Eastleigh
25 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 1 Crawley Town
22 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 3 Valenciennes
18 Jul
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Southampton
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Farnham
1 : 0 Eastleigh
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0 Eastleigh
10 Jul
Horsham FC
3 : 2 Eastleigh
25 Apr
Scunthorpe
0 : 1 Eastleigh
11 Apr
Altrincham
1 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
