Sport Picks
Hartlepool vs Middlesbrough U21
England
National League Cup Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Match Events
1'
1'
Sub
Hunter J. In: Thornton C.
Out: Hunter J.
2'
2'
Sub
Popov C. In: Foreman K.
Out: Popov C.
2'
2'
Sub
Ilunga B. In: Worth J.
Out: Ilunga B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-10. This leg finished 0-10.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartlepool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Middlesbrough U21 haven't matched Hartlepool's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Middlesbrough U21's way, sitting at 90%.
- Hartlepool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartlepool | Middlesbrough U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.11 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 National League Cup
Hartlepool vs Middlesbrough U21
0:10
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartlepool Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.56
Middlesbrough U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Coulson F.
5 Goals Assists Leader Campbell L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartlepool 10 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartlepool Middlesbrough U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Middlesbrough U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Hartlepool remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hartlepool VS Middlesbrough U21
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1 Hartlepool
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0 Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0 Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Apr
Hartlepool
4 : 3 Southend
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough U21
(Away) 23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1 Norwich U21
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
20 Mar
Derby U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Braintree | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Hornchurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 6 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Truro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 5 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Boston United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
