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Hartley Wintney vs Willand Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Parker M.
13' Event
Eshun K.
17' Event
Eshun K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hartley Wintney in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hartley Wintney
30%
Draws
33%
Willand Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartley Wintney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Willand Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Hartley Wintney.
  • Model gives Hartley Wintney a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Willand Rovers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hartley Wintney, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hartley Wintney Clean Sheet 18%
Willand Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartley Wintney Willand Rovers
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 FA Trophy
Hartley Wintney vs Willand Rovers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartley Wintney Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eshun K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Willand Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartley Wintney 36 / 100
Willand Rovers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartley Wintney Willand Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Willand Rovers conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Hartley Wintney scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hartley Wintney has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hartley Wintney VS Willand Rovers
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartley Wintney

(Home)
21 Sept
Ashford United
2 : 1
Hartley Wintney
07 Sept
Hartley Wintney
2 : 1
East Grinstead Town
23 Jul
Hartley Wintney
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
20 Jul
Farnborough
3 : 3
Hartley Wintney
06 Jul
Hartley Wintney
1 : 0
Aylesbury United
Page 1 of 7

Willand Rovers

(Away)
26 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Willand Rovers
12 Sept
Slimbridge
2 : 3
Willand Rovers
29 Aug
Willand Rovers
2 : 1
Falmouth Town
06 Sept
Willand Rovers
1 : 2
Bishops Cleeve
19 Jul
Willand Rovers
2 : 2
Tiverton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Marine 3
Dunston 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Enfield Town 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Hartley Wintney 3
Willand Rovers 0
Folkestone 2
Faversham 1
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 2
Uxbridge 6
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Needham Market 3
Margate 2
Welwyn Garden 2
Carshalton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Cray Wanderers 2
Bedfont Sports 1
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Bath City -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wimborne 2
Marlow 2
Larkhall 3
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
AFC Totton 3
Frome Town 2
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Braintree -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Potters 1
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Cheshunt 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Stortford 2
Chipstead 1
Leiston 3
Harrow Borough 0
Canvey Island 6
Yaxley 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby 5
Mossley AFC 0
Nantwich 2
Grantham Town 1
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Kingstonian 2
Farnborough 1
Banbury 0
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Carlton Town 1
Stourbridge 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Peterborough Sports 1
TBD -
Telford -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Guiseley -
Farsley -
TBD -
Bootle 3
Stalybridge 4
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Binfield 3
Cinderford Town 0
Truro 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Radcliffe 2
Nuneaton 0
Colne 1
Tamworth 2
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
Chorley -
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 0
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Brentwood 4
Staines 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Rushall 0
Matlock 4
Marske United 3
United of Manchester 2
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 1
Tiverton 3
Warrington Town 2
Chasetown 0
Bromsgrove 0
Morpeth 1
Liversedge 3
Basford Utd. 2
Gainsborough 1
Lancaster 2
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
1/64-finals
Curzon Ashton 2
Chester 1
Leamington 0
Alfreton 3
Bradford PA 4
Marine 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 0
Enfield Town 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
Gloucester City 3
Kettering 0
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 2
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Maidstone 2
Billericay 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Needham Market 3
Welwyn Garden 1
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Cray Wanderers 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Dartford 1
Hungerford 3
Welling 2
TBD -
Weymouth -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 2
Concord Rangers 0
AFC Totton 5
Oxford City 1
St. Albans 4
Braintree 3
Potters 1
Chelmsford 1
Cheshunt 2
Stortford 5
Leiston 1
Canvey Island 0
Tonbridge 1
TBD -
Torquay -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Whitby 0
Nantwich 1
Aldershot -
TBD -
Kingstonian 4
Farnborough 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Stourbridge 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Telford 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Ashton United 1
Guiseley 2
Farsley 1
Stalybridge 0
Southport 2
Darlington FC 1
AFC Fylde 1
Gateshead 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Binfield 2
Truro 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
Worthing FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
Radcliffe 5
Tamworth 1
Spennymoor 1
Chorley 0
Plymouth Parkway 1
Hampton & Richmond 0
Brentwood 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Matlock 3
Marske United 2
York City 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Slough Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
Tiverton 1
Warrington Town 1
Morpeth 2
Liversedge 1
Lancaster 3
Brackley 1
Boston United 2
Hereford 1
Kidderminster 2
1/32-finals
Curzon Ashton 1
Alfreton 3
Bradford PA 3
Halifax 4
Notts County 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 5
Enfield Town 0
Wrexham 5
Gloucester City 0
Folkestone 2
Uxbridge 0
Barnet 2
Boreham Wood 3
Maidenhead -
Maidstone -
Yeovil 3
Woking 1
Needham Market 2
Wealdstone 1
Cray Wanderers 1
Dartford 3
Hungerford 0
Weymouth 1
Stockport County 4
Grimsby 0
Larkhall 2
AFC Totton 1
St. Albans 1
Braintree 0
Cheshunt 1
Stortford 0
Tonbridge 2
Torquay 1
King’s Lynn 2
Nantwich 1
Aldershot 2
Kingstonian 1
Dover Ath. 0
Bromley 1
Stourbridge 3
Telford 2
Chesterfield -
Guiseley -
Farsley 0
Southport 3
AFC Fylde 0
Solihull Moors 1
Truro 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Southend 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Radcliffe 0
Spennymoor 1
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Matlock 0
York City 1
Slough Town 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Morpeth 4
Lancaster 3
Boston United 4
Kidderminster 1
1/16-finals
Alfreton 1
Halifax 2
Notts County 2
Eastleigh 1
Wrexham 5
Folkestone 1
Boreham Wood 2
Maidstone 1
Yeovil 1
Needham Market 2
Dartford 1
Weymouth 0
Stockport County 3
Larkhall 0
St. Albans 0
Cheshunt 3
Tonbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Aldershot 0
Bromley 2
Stourbridge 1
Guiseley 0
Southport 0
Solihull Moors 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Southend 0
Spennymoor 3
Plymouth Parkway 1
York City 1
Slough Town 0
Morpeth 4
Boston United 3
1/8-finals
Halifax 1
Notts County 2
Wrexham 3
Boreham Wood 0
Needham Market 1
Dartford 0
Stockport County 1
Cheshunt 0
Tonbridge 1
Bromley 2
Stourbridge 0
Solihull Moors 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Spennymoor 0
York City 3
Morpeth 2
Quarter-finals
Notts County 1
Wrexham 2
Needham Market 0
Stockport County 3
Bromley 3
Solihull Moors 1
Dagenham & Red. 1
York City 2
Semi-finals
Wrexham 2
Stockport County 0
Bromley 3
York City 1
Final
Wrexham 0
Bromley 1