Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fez

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Adrar, Agadir
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Tachtach J.
27' Event
El Mahraoui A.
Assist: Titus D.
39' Event
Mabasa T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro game between Hassania Agadir and Maghreb Fez finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maghreb Fez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hassania Agadir
30%
Draws
51%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Maghreb Fez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Maghreb Fez taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Maghreb Fez here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hassania Agadir Clean Sheet 17%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hassania Agadir Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.11 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Botola Pro
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fez
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Hassania Agadir
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Botola Pro
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fez
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Botola Pro
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fez
2:2
Sep 27, 2024 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Hassania Agadir
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hassania Agadir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mahraoui A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hassania Agadir 20 / 100
Maghreb Fez 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hassania Agadir Maghreb Fez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maghreb Fez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hassania Agadir found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hassania Agadir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Maghreb Fez conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hassania Agadir VS Maghreb Fez
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hassania Agadir

(Home)
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Kawkab Marrakech
2 : 3
Hassania Agadir
05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
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Maghreb Fez

(Away)
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
12 Sept
Rahimo
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
06 Sept
Maghreb Fez
4 : 1
Rahimo
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Union Touarga 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 IR Tanger 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 COD Meknes 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
5 Widad Temara 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Kawkab Marrakech 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Wydad Athletic 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Raja Casablanca 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Hassania Agadir 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Amal Tiznit 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Moghreb Tetouan 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Berkane 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 FAR Rabat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 FUS Rabat 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Renaissance Zemamra 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
16 Difaa El Jadidi 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)