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Hastings vs Sutton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hastings host Sutton in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hastings have averaged 0.89 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Sutton's 1.23 scored and 1.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Sutton slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.88) point toward Sutton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hastings
35%
Draws
21%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hastings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sutton come out ahead of Hastings on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hastings a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hastings Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hastings Sutton
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Hastings vs Sutton
0:0
Apr 16, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Sutton vs Hastings
2:1
Sep 7, 2010 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hastings vs Sutton
2:3
Feb 13, 2010 Isthmian League Premier Division
Sutton vs Hastings
2:2
Oct 13, 2009 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hastings vs Sutton
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hastings 85 / 100
Sutton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hastings Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hastings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Hastings has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sutton has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Hastings found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Hastings VS Sutton
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hastings

(Home)
26 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Dulwich Hamlet
12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Hastings
2 : 1
Hendon
01 Aug
Hastings
0 : 0
Hashtag
28 Jul
Eastbourne United
0 : 4
Hastings
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Sutton

(Away)
03 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Sutton
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
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